Your finances in cold, shiny hands

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There’s a thing investors fear on the job. Market crashes and extreme volatility are part of the job. But feelings, that’s on them. Getting emotionally invested in their portfolio; making irrational decisions that lead to wrong moves; following their gut feeling just a little too far and ending up in the ditch. Now, there’s a strong case for experienced investors reading the market and making moves that a computer couldn’t have predicted. But that’s about to change.

Robo-advisors, as they’re called, are wealth management platforms based on algorithms that read the market and make decisions after you’ve instructed them and taught them about what your personal preferences are. They’re generally set up through a questionnaire destined to learn about your risk tendencies, your personal financial goals and general way of life. The simplest ones make do with a dozen questions or so (“What to you want to invest for?”, “How much can you pitch in per month” etc.), whereas the more advanced one have sets of questionnaires that range in the hundred or so questions–all to paint a much more precise picture of who you are. These robo-advisors then create an investment scheme based not only on your preferences, but on algorithms that study the market and pick a strategy with a risk factor that matches your profile. I won’t give any figures on revenue and performance, but the general idea is that while these robo-advisors are often cheaper than their human wealth manager counterparts, their performance is comparable.

In comes big data and machine learning. Algorithms, until now, are based on the strategies developed by the top brains in investment banks and robo-advisor companies – and as such it’s hard for them to outperform their creators, if you will. Machine learning and neural nets, though, have the potential to actually outperform their creators. Because of the sheer volume of data they can process, these naturally evolving algorithms improve themselves based on a number of factors that is vastly superior than what the human mind can process. So you start with the best minds in the industry, and you supercharge them to bring them to heights they never thought possible.

Investors are still somewhat reluctant to put their finances in robot hands, but the trend is upwards and onwards. The younger generations, especially HENRYs (High Earning, Not Rich Yet. Too many acronyms.), are more open to trying these out. It’s only a matter of time before data takes over and brings investment advice to a new, market-outperforming level.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/falgunidesai/2016/07/31/the-great-fintech-robo-adviser-race/#507e145d3812

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/roboadvisor-roboadviser.asp

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robo-advisor

http://www.investmentzen.com/best-robo-advisors for the leading names

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The Smartification of Society

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From the advent of the Apple Watch, smart cars like the Tesla model S (not self-driving cars), the IoT, 3D printing, VR, Wearables and all the amazing tech trends we see it can be difficult to differentiate hype from reality. Here are some examples

 

What is certain is that everything in our lives is going to become smart the same way everyone in 1996 said the internet is going to change the world in 2000 but it really changed the world something like 2010. The deployment of accurate, easy to consume information from all things and objects around us to make our lives easier is going to hugely disrupt some industries forcing them to change the way they do things.

Let’s take the current education system for example as it is relevant to all of us and hypothesis how the combination of such trends might affect it. The descriptions that follow post might make you think I am not a fan of the current education system although these are just some observations and predictions meant not to offend but only to generate discussion. 

The university system is slowly losing its value proposition in face of the speed and intensity in the current business marketplace. Unfair debt structure of college loans can severely set a young person back. This brings to question whether college degrees are appropriate for everyone? It’s a hard conversation to have because the college dream has been so well branded. Yet it is fascinating how little parallel can be made between one’s level of education and success (financial) in the modern business world.

We can’t be so naive or misguided to suggest that time spent in a top university can’t help one get closer to financial success and diplomas are entry level requirements for thousands of jobs. If one wants to be a lawyer or doctor or many of the other professions that take a college degree to become that thing, then going to the best possible college that will help one get the job of their dreams is wise. If you want to run a business, be a photographer, an artist of any kind or a designer a degree is not necessary, though it will help. Many of us are lucky enough to go to university to soak up the experience, network and most importantly learn about ourselves (self-awareness).

The free education that will be available on the internet will be incredible and the current 10 year old’s may be the last generation that holds university to such high esteem. Online courses such as Khan Academy, Creative Live, Udemy, Udacity, Skillshare and tons of other startups are putting out incredible platforms that acquire incredible talent teaching courses on these platforms. Is this a better ROI than the college professors that have been out of the game for 5-10 years? There is definitely lots of money to be made within this industry as shown by new suppliers such as Masterclass entering the market where experts regardless of whether they went to university or not their work speaks for itself. Signs of a steady decrease in the quality university education are showing themselves as illustrated in a recent article published by the Guardian. It says “an Oxford graduate is suing the university for £1m claiming the “appallingly bad” and “boring” teaching cost him a first-class degree and prevented him from having a successful career”.

This brings to question is studying at home on the internet any different from going to a class with 400 students where you barely remember the lecturer’s name and education is standardized to make it efficient and very profitable.?

In addition, with coworking spaces and incubators slowly becoming a common denominator in many cities where one can network in combination with traveling to expand one’s horizons, why incur debt that you can’t even declare bankruptcy against.

One thing is for certain, university alone will not properly train you to be a prime time player in today’s business environment and many of the theories you might learn there about marketing or economics will already be too obsolete. The ENTIRE market moves at such a speed that even great entrepreneurs or experts have a hard time keeping up with it. Within a month of one’s graduation there will always be a new app, new platform or new channel or way for doing business that didn’t exist before.

How people judge anything is what brings value to the equation. Because decision makers in business today highly value a diploma from Harvard or MIT or Yale young students opt to go there and find it valuable. As soon as big companies or key players/individuals in the market such as Google come along and start valuing actual data and work to prove if you’re good at something the diploma will lose its value because whoever is judging dictates the rules of the game. Being a practitioner and student or teacher is very very different. We are slowly moving to a Post-GPA world.

Lazlo Bock the Senior Vice President of People Operations at Google says “The academic setting is an artificial place where people are highly trained to succeed only in a specific environment. One of my own frustrations when I was in college and grad school is that you knew the professor was looking for a specific answer. You could figure that out, but it’s much more interesting to solve problems where there isn’t an obvious answer. You want people who like figuring out stuff where there is no obvious answer.

However, the thought that we can switch the entire system; government, history, infrastructure etc is just not going to happen because the machine is too broken in the modern information world, it’s too big.. What could happen is what happens in business. Something comes along and disrupts it. A car was invented which disrupted the horse. Uber disrupted taxi services. All of a sudden taxi services are doing all these great things because they are forced to. They didn’t want to innovate.

Students are being taught information to regurgitate it from their heads using mostly short term memory, yet it is literally at their fingertips on their phones. If you really care about education you should not care how it’s being deployed, but instead about the accuracy and impact and how they execute that information. One can be informed in any way and that’s what we should focus on. Universities should pivot on putting young people in the best position to succeed in 2020, 2030 and not 2010.

“What you know doesn’t mean shit. What do you do consistently” Tony Robbins 

Inspired by the book #AskGaryVee: One Entrepreneur’s Take on Leadership, Social Media, and Self-Awareness.

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Are Digital Partnerships the future?

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In the past years, companies like IBM and Box, Apple and IBM, and Blackberry and Samsung have all formed strategic partnerships or alliances to harness innovation, bring new capabilities to market quicker, increase profits and block the competition.

The form of these digital partnerships ranges from contract-based alliances between two or three players to cross-industry networks and large, loosely organized, ecosystems based on a dominant technology platform. The early adopters already have multiple digital partners and some belong to more than one form of partnership. Many others, meanwhile, are intent on catching up. Private-sector organizations tend to dominate these partnerships. The growing trend for digital partnerships is already having a measurable impact for the organizations involved in them.

The reason why companies want to be in digital partnerships is the fact that nowadays the digital environment is super competitive. They want to gain advantage of this competitive environment, but they are finding that it tough to do alone. That is why many are entering into partnerships of one form or another to develop digital capabilities. The digital partnerships range from formal alliances with two or three players to loose networks of dozens or more organisations.

In my opinion, the formation of digital partnerships will only have more digital partnerships as a result. When you are a company with no digital partnership and you have to compete with companies that are in digital partnerships, it will be a very hard battle to win. And even if you win your company is not safe from other companies which are in a digital partnership. It is obvious that companies that are in a partnership have a big advantage. To compete in a fair fight, companies are being forced to join the trend and enter a digital partnership.

I am interested in your opinion and if you agree with mine.

Sources:

Connecting  Companies: Strategic partnerships for the digital age, 2o16. A Telstra report written by The Economist Intelligence Unit

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/digital-leaders/future-series/2016-digital-partnerships/

http://www.computerweekly.com/news/4500256988/Partnerships-key-to-digital-innovation

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